Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 50.59%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 26.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
