While Utrecht have struggled for form recently, their quality could show in a clash between two sides knocked from recent defeats.
Friday's meeting should be tight with little to split the teams, but we lean towards a narrow home victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 57.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for NEC had a probability of 20.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
