SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | FC Utrecht | 33 | 8 | 47 |
| 8 | NEC | 33 | -13 | 38 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 33 | -15 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -20 | 32 |
| 16 | Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -32 | 32 |
| 17 | Willem II | 33 | -28 | 30 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 53.76%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 23.25% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
53.76% ( -0.82) | 22.99% ( 0.3) | 23.25% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 56.36% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.22% ( -0.79) | 43.78% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.83% ( -0.77) | 66.16% ( 0.77) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.76% ( -0.57) | 16.23% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.25% ( -1.04) | 45.75% ( 1.03) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.29% ( 0.02) | 32.71% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.73% ( 0.02) | 69.26% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.34% Total : 53.76% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.98% | 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.45% Total : 23.25% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 40 | 49 | 75 |
| 3 | Ajax | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 86 | 38 | 48 | 69 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 67 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 66 | 27 | 39 | 64 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 59 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 54 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 46 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 41 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 40 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 39 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 36 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 42 | 71 | -29 | 36 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 32 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
| R | Cambuur | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 69 | -43 | 19 |
| R | Groningen | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 75 | -44 | 18 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
