With both teams languishing in the lower echelons of the table, we expect a nervy and cagey affair in this one and a share of the spoils come the end of the 90 minutes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
