SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 68.08%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Spakenburg had a probability of 14.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 1-0 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Spakenburg win it was 1-2 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Spakenburg |
68.08% ( -0.08) | 17.72% ( 0.03) | 14.2% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 57.64% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.03% ( -0.04) | 33.97% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.17% ( -0.04) | 55.83% ( 0.05) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.88% ( -0.02) | 9.13% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 69.03% ( -0.07) | 30.98% ( 0.07) |
| Spakenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.43% ( 0.04) | 36.57% ( -0.04) |
