SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
30.76% ( -0.92) | 24.94% ( 0.09) | 44.3% ( 0.83) |
| Both teams to score 56.3% ( -0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.17% ( -0.79) | 46.83% ( 0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.92% ( -0.75) | 69.08% ( 0.75) |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.42% ( -1) | 28.58% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.63% ( -1.27) | 64.37% ( 1.27) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.83% ( 0.04) | 21.17% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.96% ( 0.07) | 54.04% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.66% Total : 30.76% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.93% | 0-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 4.73% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.58% Total : 44.3% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Burnley | 46 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 87 | 35 | 52 | 101 |
| P | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 91 |
| P | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 80 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 84 | 56 | 28 | 75 |
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 70 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 69 |
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 69 |
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 68 |
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 59 | 53 | 6 | 66 |
| 10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 66 |
| 11 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 56 | 53 | 3 | 63 |
| 12 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 63 |
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 62 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 59 |
| 15 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 58 |
| 16 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 53 |
| 17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 53 |
| 18 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 53 |
| 19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 50 |
| 20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 50 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 49 |
| R | Reading | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 44 |
| R | Blackpool | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 44 |
| R | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 39 |
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