SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
36.48% ( -0) | 24.58% ( -0.02) | 38.94% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 59.26% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.29% ( 0.11) | 43.71% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.9% ( 0.11) | 66.1% ( -0.11) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.35% ( 0.05) | 23.66% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.24% ( 0.07) | 57.76% ( -0.07) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.62% ( 0.06) | 22.38% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.12% ( 0.09) | 55.88% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 36.48% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.57% | 1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.96% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 38.94% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Burnley | 46 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 87 | 35 | 52 | 101 |
| P | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 91 |
| P | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 80 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 84 | 56 | 28 | 75 |
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 70 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 69 |
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 69 |
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 68 |
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 59 | 53 | 6 | 66 |
| 10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 66 |
| 11 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 56 | 53 | 3 | 63 |
| 12 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 63 |
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 62 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 59 |
| 15 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 58 |
| 16 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 53 |
| 17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 53 |
| 18 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 53 |
| 19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 50 |
| 20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 50 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 49 |
| R | Reading | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 44 |
| R | Blackpool | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 44 |
| R | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 42 |
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