SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Stoke City |
45.17% ( -1.69) | 25.8% ( 0.54) | 29.03% ( 1.15) |
| Both teams to score 52.51% ( -0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.68% ( -1.6) | 51.33% ( 1.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.85% ( -1.42) | 73.15% ( 1.42) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.33% ( -1.44) | 22.67% ( 1.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.68% ( -2.18) | 56.32% ( 2.18) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.91% ( 0.03) | 32.09% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.44% ( 0.03) | 68.56% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.3)3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.27)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.19)4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.14% Total : 45.16% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.46)2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.3)1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.03% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Burnley | 46 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 87 | 35 | 52 | 101 |
| P | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 91 |
| P | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 80 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 84 | 56 | 28 | 75 |
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 70 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 69 |
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 69 |
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 68 |
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 59 | 53 | 6 | 66 |
| 10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 66 |
| 11 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 56 | 53 | 3 | 63 |
| 12 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 63 |
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 62 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 59 |
| 15 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 58 |
| 16 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 53 |
| 17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 53 |
| 18 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 53 |
| 19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 50 |
| 20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 50 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 49 |
| R | Reading | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 44 |
| R | Blackpool | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 44 |
| R | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 42 |
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