Despite their capitulation at Reading, there is an argument that Swansea are the marginal favourites to prevail from this fixture. Nevertheless, Boro will surely end their barren spell in front of goal soon, and it may be enough to earn a share of the spoils from this contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
