Reading 4-4 Swansea City - Championship - April 18, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

With both sides coming into this game on the back of some strong form, we can see them cancelling each other out in an even encounter on Monday. Reading do not need to push for the win thanks to a healthy cushion above the relegation zone, so they are likely to settle for a point, whilst the visitors are expected to be rotated significantly, suggesting that they are not desperately pushing for the playoff places. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Reading had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Reading	Draw	Swansea City
25.22%	24.92%	49.85%

Both teams to score 52.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.79%

50.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.83%

72.16%

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.49%

34.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.77%

71.22%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.84%

20.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.56%

52.43%

Score Analysis

Reading 25.22%

Swansea City 49.84%

Draw 24.92%

Reading	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 7.4% 2-1 @ 6.31% 2-0 @ 3.94% 3-1 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 1.79% 3-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.16% Total : 25.22%	1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 6.95% 2-2 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.92%	0-1 @ 11.13% 1-2 @ 9.49% 0-2 @ 8.92% 1-3 @ 5.07% 0-3 @ 4.76% 2-3 @ 2.7% 1-4 @ 2.03% 0-4 @ 1.91% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.75% Total : 49.84%