Cardiff head into the derby in much better form and we think the Bluebirds will come out on top to stop their rivals doing the league double over them. Morison is getting the best out of his team and they could end the season strongly.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
