Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 45.72%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
