Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 17.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.18%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
