SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.77%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Burnley |
49.77% ( 0.03) | 24.31% ( -0.01) | 25.93% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.92% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.94% ( 0.03) | 47.06% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.7% ( 0.03) | 69.3% ( -0.03) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.05% ( 0.02) | 18.95% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.53% ( 0.04) | 50.47% ( -0.04) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.76% ( 0) | 32.24% ( -0) |
