SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 20.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Hull City win it was 1-0 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hull City | Draw | Burnley |
20.37% ( -0.23) | 25% ( 0.05) | 54.63% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 46.39% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.89% ( -0.46) | 55.1% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.64% ( -0.38) | 76.35% ( 0.38) |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.09% ( -0.52) | 41.9% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.65% ( -0.45) | 78.35% ( 0.45) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.85% ( -0.11) | 20.15% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.57% ( -0.18) | 52.42% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hull City | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.12% Total : 20.37% | 1-1 @ 11.76% 0-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 13.52% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 10.83% ( 0.12)1-2 @ 9.42% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 5.79% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.03% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.51% Total : 54.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Burnley | 46 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 87 | 35 | 52 | 101 |
| P | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 91 |
| P | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 80 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 84 | 56 | 28 | 75 |
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 70 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 69 |
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 69 |
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 68 |
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 59 | 53 | 6 | 66 |
| 10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 66 |
| 11 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 56 | 53 | 3 | 63 |
| 12 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 63 |
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 62 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 59 |
| 15 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 58 |
| 16 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 53 |
| 17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 53 |
| 18 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 53 |
| 19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 50 |
| 20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 50 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 49 |
| R | Reading | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 44 |
| R | Blackpool | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 44 |
| R | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 42 |
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