SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 49.95%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Bristol City |
49.95% ( -0.07) | 25.95% ( 0.1) | 24.1% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.14% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.89% ( -0.41) | 55.11% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.64% ( -0.34) | 76.36% ( 0.34) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.89% ( -0.2) | 22.11% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.53% ( -0.3) | 55.47% ( 0.3) |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.8% ( -0.26) | 38.2% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.04% ( -0.25) | 74.96% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Bristol City |
| 1-0 @ 12.74% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.01% Total : 49.94% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.58% Total : 24.1% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Burnley | 46 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 87 | 35 | 52 | 101 |
| P | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 91 |
| P | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 80 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 84 | 56 | 28 | 75 |
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 70 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 69 |
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 69 |
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 68 |
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 59 | 53 | 6 | 66 |
| 10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 66 |
| 11 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 56 | 53 | 3 | 63 |
| 12 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 63 |
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 62 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 59 |
| 15 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 58 |
| 16 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 53 |
| 17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 53 |
| 18 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 53 |
| 19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 50 |
| 20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 50 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 49 |
| R | Reading | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 44 |
| R | Blackpool | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 44 |
| R | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 42 |
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