SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Bayern Munich | 7 | 13 | 12 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 5 | 12 |
| 6 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Union Berlin | 6 | 9 | 14 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 6 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Bayern Munich | 7 | 13 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Freiburg |
46.01% ( -0.43) | 23.75% ( 0.13) | 30.24% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 60.1% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.29% ( -0.44) | 41.71% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.89% ( -0.45) | 64.11% ( 0.45) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.63% ( -0.35) | 18.37% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.51% ( -0.59) | 49.49% ( 0.59) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.62% ( -0.02) | 26.37% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.47% ( -0.03) | 61.52% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Freiburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.56% Total : 46.01% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 30.24% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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