SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | PAOK | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Olympiacos | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Atromitos | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Union Berlin | 6 | 9 | 14 |
| 2 | Freiburg | 6 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Bayern Munich | 6 | 14 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Olympiacos | Draw | Freiburg |
47.26% ( 0.11) | 23.89% ( -0.02) | 28.86% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 58.73% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.87% ( 0.04) | 43.13% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.47% ( 0.04) | 65.53% ( -0.03) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.58% ( 0.06) | 18.42% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.42% ( 0.1) | 49.59% ( -0.1) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.99% ( -0.04) | 28.02% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.34% ( -0.05) | 63.66% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Olympiacos | Draw | Freiburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.73% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.49% Total : 47.26% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.88% | 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 28.86% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 92 | 31 | 61 | 85 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 83 | 42 | 41 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 69 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 66 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 65 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 58 |
| 7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 57 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Brentford | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 53 |
| 10 | Fulham | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 39 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 37 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
| 17 | Everton | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 32 |
| 18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 30 |
| R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
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