SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Hertha Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 45.73%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | Freiburg |
29.16% ( -0.14) | 25.11% ( -0) | 45.73% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 54.8% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.62% ( -0.05) | 48.38% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.48% ( -0.05) | 70.52% ( 0.05) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.52% ( -0.13) | 30.48% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.31% ( -0.16) | 66.69% ( 0.16) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.82% ( 0.05) | 21.18% ( -0.04) |
