SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Stuttgart | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Augsburg | 4 | -5 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Union Berlin | 4 | 8 | 10 |
| 4 | Freiburg | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 5 | 2 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 20.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Freiburg |
56.81% ( 3.42) | 22.53% ( -0.92) | 20.66% ( -2.5) |
| Both teams to score 54.27% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.16% ( 1.06) | 44.84% ( -1.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.8% ( 1.02) | 67.2% ( -1.02) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.43% ( 1.57) | 15.57% ( -1.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.48% ( 2.85) | 44.52% ( -2.85) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.28% ( -1.77) | 35.72% ( 1.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.51% ( -1.86) | 72.49% ( 1.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Freiburg |
| 1-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.57)3-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.39)3-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.64)3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.32)4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.43)4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.17)5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.2)Other @ 2.49% Total : 56.8% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.44) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.52% | 0-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.56) 1-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.51)0-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.45)1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.28)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.21)Other @ 1.87% Total : 20.66% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
