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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Dec 19, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
LL
Freiburg
2 - 1
B. Leverkusen
Grifo (33' pen.), Schade (84')
Schlotterbeck (30'), Holer (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Aranguiz (45+1')
Frimpong (32'), Andrich (39'), Odilon (82')

We said: Freiburg 1-1 Bayer Leverkusen

These two sides head into their clash on Sunday in similar runs of form, as well as similar positions in terms of quality displayed this season so far. For this reason, we are predicting a draw at the Europa-Park Stadion, in what is sure to be a tight encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawBayer Leverkusen
35.64%24.22%40.14%
Both teams to score 60.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.9%42.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.49%64.5%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.63%23.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.65%57.34%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.9%21.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.07%53.92%
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 35.64%
    Bayer Leverkusen 40.14%
    Draw 24.22%
FreiburgDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 8.11%
1-0 @ 7.17%
2-0 @ 5.21%
3-1 @ 3.93%
3-2 @ 3.06%
3-0 @ 2.52%
4-1 @ 1.43%
4-2 @ 1.11%
4-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 35.64%
1-1 @ 11.15%
2-2 @ 6.31%
0-0 @ 4.93%
3-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.22%
1-2 @ 8.68%
0-1 @ 7.67%
0-2 @ 5.97%
1-3 @ 4.5%
2-3 @ 3.27%
0-3 @ 3.1%
1-4 @ 1.75%
2-4 @ 1.27%
0-4 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 40.14%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203472723
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen87102571822
3Stuttgart970227111621
4RB Leipzig96212571820
5Borussia DortmundDortmund8620178920
6Hoffenheim96032016418
7Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt834196313
8Freiburg8413914-513
9Wolfsburg94051314-112
10Augsburg93241821-311
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach92341620-49
12Werder Bremen93061418-49
13Heidenheim92161322-97
14SV Darmstadt 9892161330-177
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin92071119-86
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum9054823-155
17FC Koln9117721-144
18Mainz 05Mainz9036924-153
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