Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 33 | 69 |
3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 33 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 35 | 58 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Union Berlin | 34 | 6 | 57 |
6 | Freiburg | 34 | 12 | 55 |
7 | FC Koln | 34 | 3 | 52 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 57.2%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 21.83% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 1-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (5.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Freiburg |
57.2% ( 0.01) | 20.97% ( -0) | 21.83% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 61.51% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.88% ( 0.01) | 36.12% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.78% ( 0.01) | 58.22% ( -0) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.46% ( 0) | 12.54% ( -0) |