SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | St Pauli | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Kaiserslautern | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | SC Paderborn | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Hertha Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaiserslautern win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kaiserslautern win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%).
| Result | ||
| Kaiserslautern | Draw | Freiburg |
37.61% ( -0.08) | 25.61% ( 0.03) | 36.78% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.6% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.56% ( -0.12) | 48.43% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.43% ( -0.11) | 70.57% ( 0.11) |
| Kaiserslautern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.79% ( -0.1) | 25.2% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.06% ( -0.14) | 59.94% ( 0.14) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.33% ( -0.02) | 25.67% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.42% ( -0.03) | 60.57% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kaiserslautern | Draw | Freiburg |
| 1-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.14% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 37.61% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.74% 0-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 36.78% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 84 | 30 | 54 | 76 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 33 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 75 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 61 | 27 | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 63 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 65 | 42 | 23 | 56 |
| 6 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 63 | 57 | 6 | 54 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 61 | 40 | 21 | 52 |
| 9 | Brentford | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 50 |
| 10 | Fulham | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 45 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 39 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 39 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 37 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 34 |
| 16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 46 | 59 | -13 | 30 |
| 17 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 43 | 67 | -24 | 30 |
| 18 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 30 |
| 19 | Everton | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 27 | 52 | -25 | 29 |
| 20 | Southampton | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 24 |
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