With Freiburg tending to struggle more on their travels compared to their strength on home soil, we can see the visitors being held at their struggling hosts on Saturday.
On their days, these two sides are evenly matched and more than capable of qualifying for European football, but with the in-form side being the away team, and the hosts being in an end-of-season slump, we can see the two cancelling each other out in a tight affair.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
