SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 5 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Borussia Dortmund | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | FC Koln | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 1 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 50.85%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
50.85% ( 0.45) | 22.82% ( -0.09) | 26.32% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 60.34% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.94% ( 0.12) | 40.06% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.57% ( 0.12) | 62.43% ( -0.12) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.09% ( 0.2) | 15.92% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.84% ( 0.37) | 45.16% ( -0.37) |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.77% ( -0.2) | 28.24% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.06% ( -0.25) | 63.94% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.62% Total : 50.85% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.82% | 1-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.59% Total : 26.32% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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