We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 3-1 Hoffenheim
After a morale-boosting heavy victory in Farke's first competitive game in charge, we can envisage Gladbach beginning Bundesliga life under their new manager with another victory.
The hosts appear to have more firepower than their forthcoming opponents, who were less than impressive when requiring extra time to beat a team three divisions below them in the DFB-Pokal on Sunday.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Borussia Monchengladbach in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Borussia Monchengladbach.