Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 52.96%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 25.03% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
