Despite their respective setbacks at the weekend, both teams will feel confident about bouncing back with a win. Nevertheless, a second successive defeat would damage their hopes of European qualification, leading us to think that a low-scoring draw is the most likely outcome.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
