Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Bragantino.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ceara 2-1 Sao Paulo (3-4 pen.)
Wednesday, August 10 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, August 10 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | America Mineiro | 21 | -6 | 27 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo | 21 | 1 | 26 |
| 12 | Goias | 22 | -6 | 26 |
Last Game: Atletico GO 2-1 Bragantino
Saturday, August 6 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, August 6 at 11pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Atletico Mineiro | 21 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 21 | 7 | 30 |
| 9 | Santos | 21 | 7 | 30 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 50.84%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 23.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Bragantino |
50.84% ( -0.09) | 25.92% ( 0.03) | 23.24% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 47.36% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.32% ( -0.05) | 55.69% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.17% ( -0.04) | 76.83% ( 0.04) |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.04% ( -0.06) | 21.96% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.75% ( -0.09) | 55.25% ( 0.09) |
| Bragantino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.68% ( 0.03) | 39.32% ( -0.03) |
