SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Atletico Mineiro | 17 | 8 | 31 |
| 3 | Internacional | 17 | 8 | 29 |
| 4 | Corinthians | 17 | 2 | 29 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Bragantino | 17 | 7 | 24 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 4 | 24 |
| 9 | Flamengo | 17 | 3 | 24 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 54.5%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 21.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Internacional | Draw | Sao Paulo |
54.5% ( -0.01) | 24.24% ( -0.04) | 21.26% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 49.79% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.76% ( 0.24) | 51.23% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.93% ( 0.21) | 73.07% ( -0.21) |
| Internacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.29% ( 0.09) | 18.7% ( -0.09) |
