SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Atletico Mineiro | 13 | 5 | 21 |
| 4 | Internacional | 13 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Athletico Paranaense | 13 | 0 | 21 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Flamengo | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Coritiba | 13 | -3 | 15 |
| 16 | America Mineiro | 13 | -3 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 63.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 15.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.01%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Internacional | Draw | Coritiba |
63.22% ( -0.05) | 21.51% ( 0.01) | 15.27% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 47.26% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.03% ( 0.02) | 48.97% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.94% ( 0.02) | 71.06% ( -0.01) |
| Internacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.13% ( -0.01) | 14.87% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.79% ( -0.02) | 43.21% ( 0.03) |
| Coritiba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.52% ( 0.07) | 44.48% ( -0.07) |
