We said: Atletico Goianiense 0-1 Sao Paulo
Still without an away win in the league this season, Sao Paulo can finally end their drought, on the back of a spirited cup performance in trying circumstances. Atletico-GO tend to keep things tight on home soil, though, so the margin of victory will be slim.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
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