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Saturday, November 5
Jul 17, 2022 at 8pm UK at Estadio do Morumbi
Sao Paulo
2 - 2
Fluminense
Luciano (34'), Patrick (42')
Diego (18'), Luciano (31'), Patrick (67'), Calleri (79')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Andre (25'), Manoel (64')
Andre (79'), Paulista (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-3 Fluminense
Wednesday, July 13 at 1am in Copa do Brasil

We said: Sao Paulo 1-2 Fluminense

With both of the league's top marksmen on show, goals are almost guaranteed in this clash between two of Brazil's grandest clubs. In fact, an entertaining affair could ensue if in-form Flu strike early - forcing their hosts to chase the game and leave gaps in behind - and the visitors are best equipped to edge it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 48.96%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 23.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Sao PauloDrawFluminense
48.96% (0.348 0.35) 27.92% (0.0010000000000012 0) 23.12% (-0.349 -0.35)
Both teams to score 42.04% (-0.326 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.49% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)62.51% (0.23999999999999 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.89% (-0.175 -0.18)82.11% (0.17599999999999 0.18)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.21% (0.058999999999997 0.06)25.79% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.25% (0.079000000000001 0.08)60.75% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.66% (-0.482 -0.48)43.34% (0.483 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.42% (-0.407 -0.41)79.58% (0.40799999999999 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 48.95%
    Fluminense 23.12%
    Draw 27.9%
Sao PauloDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 15.14% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 10.26% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.64% (0.064 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.62% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.57% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 48.95%
1-1 @ 12.66% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 11.17% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 3.59% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 27.9%
0-1 @ 9.35% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.3% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.91% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.48% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 23.12%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-1 Sao Paulo (3-4 pen.)
Friday, July 15 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 0-0 Sao Paulo
Sunday, July 10 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 4-1 Catolica
Friday, July 8 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Atletico GO 1-2 Sao Paulo
Sunday, July 3 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Catolica 2-4 Sao Paulo
Friday, July 1 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-0 Juventude
Sunday, June 26 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-3 Fluminense
Wednesday, July 13 at 1am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Ceara
Saturday, July 9 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 4-0 Corinthians
Saturday, July 2 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 0-1 Fluminense
Sunday, June 26 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Cruzeiro
Thursday, June 23 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Fluminense 2-0 Avai
Sunday, June 19 at 11pm in Brasileiro
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Brasileiro Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PalmeirasPalmeiras352211263224177
2InternacionalInternacional351713552312164
3FlamengoFlamengo351871057342361
4Fluminense351871056401661
5Corinthians35171084133861
6Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR35159114445-154
7Atletico Mineiro35131394135652
8Sao Paulo351215850381251
9America MineiroAmerica Mineiro35147143436-249
10FortalezaFortaleza35139133738-148
11Botafogo35138143640-447
12SantosSantos351210134335846
13BragantinoBragantino351111134848044
14GoiasGoias351013123946-743
15Coritiba35115193556-2138
16Cuiaba35910162837-937
17CearaCeara35616133037-734
18Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3589183654-1833
19Avai3577212958-2928
20JuventudeJuventude35312202662-3621
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