SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Corinthians | 12 | 6 | 22 |
| 3 | Internacional | 12 | 5 | 21 |
| 4 | Santos | 13 | 5 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | America Mineiro | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Botafogo | 12 | -3 | 15 |
| 16 | Goias | 12 | -3 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 60.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 17.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Internacional | Draw | Botafogo |
60.73% ( 0.05) | 22.17% ( 0.01) | 17.09% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 49.13% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.47% ( -0.17) | 48.53% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.34% ( -0.16) | 70.66% ( 0.15) |
| Internacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.47% ( -0.04) | 15.53% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.55% ( -0.08) | 44.45% ( 0.07) |
| Botafogo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.16% ( -0.19) | 41.84% ( 0.18) |
