Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 56.68%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for 9 de Octubre had a probability of 17.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a 9 de Octubre win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.
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