SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Santos | 18 | 6 | 25 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 18 | 4 | 25 |
| 11 | Ceara | 18 | 2 | 24 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Ceara | 18 | 2 | 24 |
| 12 | Goias | 18 | -4 | 21 |
| 13 | Botafogo | 18 | -7 | 21 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 64.51%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Goias had a probability of 13.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.45%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Goias |
64.51% ( -0.89) | 21.97% ( 0.3) | 13.52% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 41.85% ( 0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.02% ( 0.05) | 53.97% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.58% ( 0.04) | 75.42% ( -0.04) |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.88% ( -0.28) | 16.12% ( 0.28) |
