SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Coritiba | 14 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | America Mineiro | 14 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 | Cuiaba | 14 | -7 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Atletico Goianiense | 14 | -3 | 17 |
| 15 | Goias | 14 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 | Coritiba | 14 | -6 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 52.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Goias had a probability of 20.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for America Mineiro in this match.
| Result | ||
| America Mineiro | Draw | Goias |
52.41% ( -0.3) | 27.18% ( 0.14) | 20.41% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 40.88% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.62% ( -0.3) | 62.38% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.98% ( -0.22) | 82.01% ( 0.22) |
| America Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.87% ( -0.27) | 24.13% ( 0.26) |
