We said: Juventude 1-1 Goias
Goias have found the net just six times on the road; Juventude seven at home, so a low-scoring draw could be on the cards. As Juve have only one win and five points on the board at Estadio Alfredo Jaconi, home advantage is not likely to be a factor in the result.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventude win with a probability of 45.15%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Goias had a probability of 26.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventude win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
0.15) 
-0.03) 
