MX23RW : Wednesday, November 9 19:35:03
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Jul 20, 2022 at 11pm UK at Diogao
Bragantino
2 - 1
Fortaleza
Evangelista (37'), Novaes (90+7')
Schwengber (58'), Ortiz (58'), Vinicios (71'), Natan (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Britez (57')
Ronald (39'), Crispim (40'), Ceballos (52')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico GO 0-1 Fortaleza
Sunday, July 17 at 10pm in Brasileiro

We said: Bragantino 2-0 Fortaleza

Buoyed by their victory over Atletico Goianiense, Fortaleza will head into Wednesday with renewed confidence as they look to steer clear of the drop zone. However, Barbieri's men have won each of their last three home games against the Leao do Pici and we are backing them to extend their dominance in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 56.87%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 18.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.

Result
BragantinoDrawFortaleza
56.87% (-1.918 -1.92) 24.53% (0.888 0.89) 18.6% (1.03 1.03)
Both teams to score 45.04% (-0.69 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.53% (-1.89 -1.89)55.47% (1.891 1.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.34% (-1.57 -1.57)76.66% (1.572 1.57)
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.59% (-1.429 -1.43)19.41% (1.431 1.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.76% (-2.397 -2.4)51.23% (2.4 2.4)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.89% (0.133 0.13)44.11% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.78% (0.107 0.11)80.21% (-0.105 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Bragantino 56.86%
    Fortaleza 18.6%
    Draw 24.52%
BragantinoDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 14.03% (0.38 0.38)
2-0 @ 11.5% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-0 @ 6.29% (-0.411 -0.41)
3-1 @ 5.15% (-0.317 -0.32)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.297 -0.3)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.234 -0.23)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 56.86%
1-1 @ 11.48% (0.35 0.35)
0-0 @ 8.56% (0.608 0.61)
2-2 @ 3.85% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 24.52%
0-1 @ 7.01% (0.521 0.52)
1-2 @ 4.7% (0.162 0.16)
0-2 @ 2.87% (0.223 0.22)
1-3 @ 1.28% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 18.6%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: America Mineiro 0-3 Bragantino
Sunday, July 17 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 4-0 Avai
Saturday, July 9 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 0-1 Botafogo
Tuesday, July 5 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 4-2 Bragantino
Saturday, June 25 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Santos 2-2 Bragantino
Sunday, June 19 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 4-2 Coritiba
Wednesday, June 15 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico GO 0-1 Fortaleza
Sunday, July 17 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Ceara 1-0 Fortaleza
Thursday, July 14 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-0 Palmeiras
Sunday, July 10 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Estudiantes 3-0 Fortaleza
Friday, July 8 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Coritiba 2-1 Fortaleza
Sunday, July 3 at 10.45pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Estudiantes
Friday, July 1 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Brasileiro Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PalmeirasPalmeiras362212264234178
2InternacionalInternacional371913555312470
3Fluminense361971059411864
4Corinthians36181084233964
5FlamengoFlamengo361871157352261
6Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR36159124447-354
7America MineiroAmerica Mineiro36157143837152
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14BragantinoBragantino361111144952-344
15Coritiba36125193656-2041
16Cuiaba36911162938-938
17Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO36810183755-1834
18CearaCeara36616143038-834
19Avai3678213059-2929
20JuventudeJuventude36312212663-3721
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