Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Atletico Mineiro | 13 | 5 | 21 |
5 | Athletico Paranaense | 13 | 0 | 21 |
6 | Santos | 13 | 5 | 18 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Santos | 13 | 5 | 18 |
7 | Bragantino | 13 | 3 | 18 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 13 | 3 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 49.88%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 24.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
Result | ||
Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Bragantino |
49.88% ( 0) | 25.93% | 24.19% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.3% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.05% ( -0.02) | 54.94% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.77% ( -0.02) | 76.22% ( 0.01) |
Athletico Paranaense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.93% ( -0.01) | 22.07% ( 0) |