SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Goias | 14 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 | Coritiba | 14 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | America Mineiro | 14 | -6 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Cuiaba | 14 | -7 | 13 |
| 19 | Juventude | 15 | -13 | 11 |
| 20 | Fortaleza | 14 | -7 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coritiba would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Coritiba | Draw | Fortaleza |
43.43% ( 0.02) | 27.36% ( 0.02) | 29.2% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 47.94% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.74% ( -0.1) | 57.26% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.9% ( -0.08) | 78.1% ( 0.08) |
| Coritiba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.85% ( -0.04) | 26.15% ( 0.04) |
