MX23RW : Monday, July 25 19:28:00
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Monday, July 25
Jul 1, 2022 at 1.30am UK at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
Fortaleza
1 - 1
Estudiantes
Romero (55')
Capixaba (34'), Marcelo (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Diaz (63')
Noguera (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 3-2 Fortaleza
Sunday, June 26 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Estudiantes 0-2 Newell's OB
Saturday, June 25 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Fortaleza 2-1 Estudiantes

While Fortaleza's form on the domestic front has been more than concerning, Vojvoda's men have shown themselves to be a different side in South America's premier competition this season, and they will be keen to gain an advantage on home turf. We back them to narrowly triumph on Friday, with everything still in the balance for next week's second leg in Argentina. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 41%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
FortalezaDrawEstudiantes
32.02% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 26.98% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 41% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.26% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.13% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)54.87% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.83% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)76.16% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)31.78% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.79% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)68.21% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.67% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)26.32% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.54% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)61.46% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 32.02%
    Estudiantes 41%
    Draw 26.98%
FortalezaDrawEstudiantes
1-0 @ 9.59% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.8%
3-0 @ 2.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 32.02%
1-1 @ 12.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.37% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.98%
0-1 @ 11.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.54% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.45% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 3.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.32% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 41%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 3-2 Fortaleza
Sunday, June 26 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-0 Ceara
Thursday, June 23 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-0 America Mineiro
Sunday, June 19 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Avai 3-2 Fortaleza
Thursday, June 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-0 Athletico PR
Sunday, June 12 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Goias
Friday, June 10 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Estudiantes 0-2 Newell's OB
Saturday, June 25 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 2-1 Estudiantes
Tuesday, June 21 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Estudiantes 2-1 Sarmiento
Wednesday, June 15 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Aldosivi 0-1 Estudiantes
Friday, June 10 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-1 Gimnasia
Sunday, June 5 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 4-0 Estudiantes
Tuesday, May 24 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
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Brasileiro Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PalmeirasPalmeiras19116231131839
2Corinthians1910542419535
3Fluminense1910452920934
4Atletico Mineiro198832720732
5Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR199462420431
6FlamengoFlamengo199372618830
7InternacionalInternacional197932720730
8BragantinoBragantino197663023727
9SantosSantos196852216626
10Sao Paulo1951132824426
11Botafogo197391924-524
12CearaCeara195952019124
13GoiasGoias195772125-422
14America MineiroAmerica Mineiro1963101322-921
15Avai1963102030-1021
16Cuiaba185581419-520
17Coritiba185492130-919
18Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO1945101828-1017
19JuventudeJuventude193791632-1616
20FortalezaFortaleza1936101523-815
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