SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| 21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Racing Club | 14 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 23.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Estudiantes |
50.92% ( -0.91) | 25.81% ( 0.22) | 23.27% ( 0.69) |
| Both teams to score 47.68% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.73% ( -0.18) | 55.27% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.5% ( -0.15) | 76.5% ( 0.15) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.25% ( -0.46) | 21.75% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.06% ( -0.71) | 54.94% ( 0.71) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.94% ( 0.57) | 39.06% ( -0.56) |
