Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
San Lorenzo | Draw | Independiente |
33.7% ( 0.11) | 26.87% ( -0.04) | 39.43% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 51.04% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.92% ( 0.2) | 54.08% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.49% ( 0.16) | 75.51% ( -0.16) |
San Lorenzo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.75% ( 0.17) | 30.25% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.58% ( 0.21) | 66.42% ( -0.2) |
Independiente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.18% ( 0.06) | 26.82% ( -0.05) |