Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a General Caballero JLM win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a General Caballero JLM win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
