MX23RW : Thursday, November 3 00:01:37
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Thursday, November 3
Jul 9, 2022 at 8.30pm UK at Diogao
Bragantino
4 - 0
Avai
Candido (70'), Alerrandro (76'), Helinho (87'), Praxedes (90')
Ortiz (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Raniele (43'), Vaz (65'), Cortez (68')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bragantino 0-1 Botafogo
Tuesday, July 5 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Avai 1-2 Cuiaba
Sunday, July 3 at 3pm in Brasileiro

We said: Bragantino 1-0 Avai

With only four goals from their first seven away games of the campaign, Avai are unlikely to pose a sustained threat to the Bragantino goal. As the hosts should also dictate the play from midfield - bossing the ball and controlling the tempo - only one moment of magic may be needed to secure maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 62.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Avai had a probability of 14.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.22%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for an Avai win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.

Result
BragantinoDrawAvai
62.39% (0.116 0.12) 23.06% (0.126 0.13) 14.55% (-0.243 -0.24)
Both teams to score 41.37% (-0.849 -0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.94% (-0.846 -0.85)56.06% (0.84399999999999 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.86% (-0.692 -0.69)77.14% (0.69000000000001 0.69)
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.41% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)17.59% (0.262 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.84% (-0.461 -0.46)48.16% (0.457 0.46)
Avai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.2% (-0.869 -0.87)49.8% (0.867 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.48% (-0.614 -0.61)84.52% (0.61099999999999 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Bragantino 62.38%
    Avai 14.55%
    Draw 23.05%
BragantinoDrawAvai
1-0 @ 15.22% (0.36 0.36)
2-0 @ 13.22% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
3-0 @ 7.66% (0.052 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.34% (-0.097 -0.1)
4-0 @ 3.33% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.082 -0.08)
5-0 @ 1.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 62.38%
1-1 @ 10.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.76% (0.281 0.28)
2-2 @ 3.22% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 23.05%
0-1 @ 6.11% (0.046 0.05)
1-2 @ 3.7% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-2 @ 2.13% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 14.55%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bragantino 0-1 Botafogo
Tuesday, July 5 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 4-2 Bragantino
Saturday, June 25 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Santos 2-2 Bragantino
Sunday, June 19 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 4-2 Coritiba
Wednesday, June 15 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-1 Bragantino
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 1-0 Flamengo
Thursday, June 9 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Avai 1-2 Cuiaba
Sunday, July 3 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Avai 2-2 Palmeiras
Sunday, June 26 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 2-0 Avai
Sunday, June 19 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Avai 3-2 Fortaleza
Thursday, June 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 0-1 Avai
Monday, June 13 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico GO 2-1 Avai
Thursday, June 9 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
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Brasileiro Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PalmeirasPalmeiras342111259223774
2InternacionalInternacional351713552312164
3FlamengoFlamengo34187956322461
4Fluminense351871056401661
5Corinthians34161083932758
6Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR35159114445-154
7Atletico Mineiro35131394135652
8Sao Paulo351215850381251
9America MineiroAmerica Mineiro35147143436-249
10FortalezaFortaleza34139123734348
11Botafogo35138143640-447
12SantosSantos351210134335846
13BragantinoBragantino351111134848044
14GoiasGoias351013123946-743
15Coritiba35115193556-2138
16Cuiaba35910162837-937
17CearaCeara35616133037-734
18Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3589183654-1833
19Avai3577212958-2928
20JuventudeJuventude35312202662-3621
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