Ceara 1-0 Fortaleza - Copa do Brasil Round of 16 - Football

Almeria vs. Real Madrid:

Jul 14, 2022 at 12am UK at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Ceara

1 - 0

Fortaleza

Vinicius (61')
Vinicius (7'), Richardson (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Romarinho (13'), Felipe (67'), Hercules (76'), Pikachu (83'), Welison (90')

The Match

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa do Brasil clash between Ceara and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We expect Ceara to use their home advantage to help them record a morale-boosting victory against their struggling local rivals. However, the hosts may have left themselves with too much work to do in terms of progressing to the quarter-finals, with Fortaleza favourites to hold on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 52.28%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 23.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ceara in this match.

Result
Ceara	Draw	Fortaleza
52.28% ( -0.21)	24.56% ( -0.08)	23.15% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 51.2% (

0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.43% (

0.62)

50.57% (

-0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.51% (

0.54)

72.48% (

-0.54)

Ceara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.69% (

0.15)

19.31% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.93% (

0.25)

51.07% (

-0.25)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.45% (

0.62)

36.54% (

-0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.67% (

0.62)

73.33% (

-0.62)

Score Analysis

Ceara 52.28%

Fortaleza 23.15%

Draw 24.56%

Ceara	Draw	Fortaleza
1-0 @ 11.6% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.98% Total : 52.28%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.56%	0-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.8% Total : 23.15%

Head to Head

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Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Ebbsfleet	2	2	0	0	6	2	4	6
2	Dartford Dartford	2	2	0	0	4	1	3	6
3	Concord Rangers	2	2	0	0	2	0	2	6
4	Worthing	2	1	1	0	5	3	2	4
5	Havant & Waterlooville Havant & W'ville	2	1	1	0	4	2	2	4
6	Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels	2	1	1	0	4	2	2	4
7	Dulwich Hamlet Dulwich Hamlet	2	1	1	0	3	2	1	4
8	Dover Athletic Dover Athletic	2	1	1	0	2	1	1	4
9	Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead	2	1	1	0	2	1	1	4
10	Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne	2	1	0	1	6	5	1	3
11	Cheshunt	2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3
12	Bath City	2	1	0	1	4	5	-1	3
13	Oxford City Oxford City	2	1	0	1	2	3	-1	3
14	Chelmsford City Chelmsford City	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
15	Hampton & Richmond Hampton	2	0	1	1	3	4	-1	1
16	Braintree Town Braintree	2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1
17	Farnborough Town	2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1
18	St Albans City St Albans City	2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1
19	Taunton Town Taunton Town	2	0	1	1	0	1	-1	1
20	Slough Town Slough	2	0	1	1	2	4	-2	1
21	Welling United Welling United	2	0	1	1	2	4	-2	1
22	Hungerford Town Hungerford	2	0	0	2	0	2	-2	0
23	Weymouth	2	0	0	2	3	6	-3	0
24	Chippenham Town Chippenham	1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0

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Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Coritiba	16	-5	19
15	Ceara	16	-1	18
16	America Mineiro	16	-6	18

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Atletico Goianiense	16	-5	17
19	Juventude	16	-13	12
20	Fortaleza	16	-8	11

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Manchester City Man City	2	2	0	0	6	0	6	6
2	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	6	2	4	6
3	Brentford	2	1	1	0	6	2	4	4
4	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	2	1	1	0	6	3	3	4
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	2	1	1	0	2	0	2	4
6	Leeds United Leeds	2	1	1	0	4	3	1	4
7	Chelsea	2	1	1	0	3	2	1	4
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	2	1	1	0	2	1	1	4
9	Aston Villa	2	1	0	1	2	3	-1	3
10	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	2	1	0	1	1	2	-1	3
11	Bournemouth	2	1	0	1	2	4	-2	3
12	Fulham	2	0	2	0	2	2	0	2
13	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	2	2	0	1
14	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1
15	Leicester City Leicester	2	0	1	1	4	6	-2	1
16	Southampton	2	0	1	1	3	6	-3	1
17	Everton	2	0	0	2	1	3	-2	0
18	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
19	West Ham United West Ham	2	0	0	2	0	3	-3	0
20	Manchester United Man Utd	2	0	0	2	1	6	-5	0

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceara

Fortaleza

We said: Ceara 1-0 Fortaleza

Data Analysis

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