Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 53.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 20.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
