SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.55%) and 2-1 (7.24%). The likeliest Godoy Cruz win was 0-1 (12.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Instituto | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
37.75% ( 0.77) | 30.49% ( -0.02) | 31.76% ( -0.75) |
| Both teams to score 40.58% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.2% ( -0.02) | 66.8% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.87% ( -0.01) | 85.13% ( 0.02) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.82% ( 0.49) | 34.18% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.13% ( 0.52) | 70.87% ( -0.52) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.65% ( -0.57) | 38.35% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.9% ( -0.55) | 75.1% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Instituto | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
| 1-0 @ 14.07% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.21)2-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 37.75% | 1-1 @ 13.48% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 13.1% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.42% Total : 30.47% | 0-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.62% Total : 31.76% |
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