SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.51%) and 1-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (12.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
31.72% ( 0.11) | 30.98% ( -0.02) | 37.3% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 39.38% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.78% ( 0.08) | 68.22% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.92% ( 0.06) | 86.08% ( -0.05) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.81% ( 0.13) | 39.19% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.1% ( 0.12) | 75.9% ( -0.12) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.76% ( -0.01) | 35.24% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28% ( -0.01) | 72% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarmiento | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
| 1-0 @ 12.93% 2-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.51% Total : 31.71% | 0-0 @ 13.81% ( -0.04) 1-1 @ 13.49% 2-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.38% Total : 30.98% | 0-1 @ 14.4% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 2.15% Total : 37.3% |
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